Based on NOAA-NCEP Global Forecasting System (GFS), light rains are expected in some parts of Jubaland and South-Central with most parts of Hirshabelle, Galgmudug, Puntland and Somaliland remaining dry. The present position and strength of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) and its evolution is not likely to favor occurrence of heavy rains within the forecast period. The temporal and spatial distribution of the forecast rainfall (Map 1) are as follows: Light cumulative rainfall of less than 50 mm is forecast over most parts Middle Juba region particularly Buaale district; most parts of Lower Juba region particularly Kismaayo districts, southern parts of Badaadhe and eastern parts of Afmadow district; some parts of Gedo particularly Ceel Waaq district, eastern parts of Garbahaarey district and southern parts of Baardheere district; some parts of Lower Shabelle particularly Qoryooley district; some parts of Bay region particularly Buur Hakaba district and northern parts of Baydhaba districts; some parts of Bakool region particularly Rab Dhuure district and western parts of Ceel Barde district. Light rains are also possible over eastern parts of Balcad district in Middle Shabelle and elevated areas in the central parts of Ceerigaabo district in Sanaag region. The rains over Lower Juba region particularly southern parts of Badaadhe district may intensify leading to moderate amounts (more than 50 mm) by the end of the forecast period. It is noteworthy that such light to moderate rains is likely to fall over the Juba River catchment. Dry conditions are likely to prevail over vast areas in Hiraan, Middle Shabelle, Galgaduud, Mudug, Nugaal, Bari, Sool, Sanaag, Togdheer, Woqooyi Galbeed and Adwal regions. Dry conditions are also likely over most areas of Bakool region particularly Tayeeglow and Xudur districts; most parts of Lower Shabelle region including Wanla Weyn, Afgooye, Kurtunwaarey, Sablaale, and Baraawe districts; some parts of Bay region particularly Qansax Dheere district, northern parts of Diinsoor district and southern parts of Baydhaba district; most parts of Gedo region particularly Doolow and Luuq districts, western parts of Qarbahaarey district and northern parts of Baardheere district; some isolated areas in Middle Juba region particularly eastern parts of Saakow district; isolated areas of Lower Juba region particularly northern parts of Afmadow district. It is important to point out that such dry conditions with chances of light rains are expected over the Shabelle River catchment within and outside Somalia.